Richards J. Heuer Jr.

Analytical rigor is necessary to avoid misleading conclusions.

Intelligence analysis is as much an art as it is a science.

A good analyst is not only a thinker but also a storyteller, weaving narratives from data.

The best analysts are those who can adapt their thinking.

The greatest obstacle to accurate analysis is the tendency to see what we expect to see.

Understanding cognitive biases is crucial for improving the quality of analysis.

The interaction between intuition and analysis is a complex but important aspect of decision-making.

Skepticism is a valuable trait for an analyst.

Decisions are made in the context of uncertainty, and analyzing uncertainty is a key element of intelligence work.

Effective communication is crucial for successful analysis.